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英国Cardiff University金融分析毕业论文:Can portfolio/asset models explain the rise in the price of gold?

论文作者:英语论文网论文属性:硕士毕业论文 thesis登出时间:2012-09-17编辑:tinkle点击率:5557

论文字数:15902论文编号:org201209171741175747语种:英语论文 English地区:英国价格:$ 132

关键词:CME futures price of goldGold spot priceTransmission mechanismVAR model

摘要:英国Cardiff University金融分析毕业论文:Can portfolio/asset models explain the rise in the price of gold?:长期以来,黄金作为价值尺度,流通手段,贮藏手段,支付手段,世界货币等功能的世界关注,如何预测黄金价格已成为一个重要的理论和实证研究的课题。

论文题目:Can portfolio/asset models explain the rise in the price of gold?
论文语种:英文
您的研究方向:Finance Economics
是否有数据处理要求:是
您的国家:英国
您的学校背景:Cardiff University;导师很严谨但没有提供更多的参考资料;按timetable完成相应部分论文给他看;
要求字数:12000
论文用途:硕士毕业论文 Master Degree
是否需要盲审(博士或硕士生有这个需要):否
补充要求和说明:1.需要建模和做实证研究;用Eviews 做数据分析;2,论文文献格式:havard,文献数量在60-80;4.引用率小于20%; 5.更多相关要求在附件中

Can portfolio/asset models explain the rise in the price of gold?


Abstract

 

For a long time, gold as a measure of value, means http://www.51lunwen.org/jrfx/ of circulation, storage means, means of payment, and other functions of the world monetary is concerned by the world, how to predict the price of gold has become as an important theoretical and empirical research topic. China's representative gold market forms less than a decade, the formation of the gold futures market is also less than three years, in recent years, China has become the gold supply and demand of power, the formation mechanism of the price of gold is worth studying. The CME futures price of gold, as the world's gold with a strong impact on the price of gold in China, whether the formation mechanism of gold price in China is integration with the world gold price, how is the transmission mechanism of CME futures price of gold on the spot price of gold in China, what are the factors in the transmission, are the research questions required in the formation function of the Chinese gold market. The current research on the gold price forecast is more use of multiple linear regression model, because the impact of the hypothesis variables of multiple linear regression model on the price of gold remains unchanged throughout time, it is clearly inconsistent with the actual situation.

The main point of this study is that the transmission of the present CME futures prices of gold on the spot price of gold in China outweighs the costs. Through the empirical research, it concluded that the transmission mechanism of the CME futures price of gold on the gold spot price in China hindered, and the gold futures price discovery function in China was effectively without such findings, mainly due to the formation of China's gold price there are some confounding factors, the Chinese futures market building there are some flaws. In view of the problems, the dissertation proposed the following recommendations: optimize the main structure of gold trading to promote competition in the gold spot market; optimize the investor structure of gold futures to develop miniature gold futures contract, open electronic trading of gold futures, and relax settlement system.

Keywords: CME futures price of gold; Gold spot price; Transmission mechanism; VAR model

 

Table of Contents

Abstract 3
Acknowledgements 5
List of Figures 9
List of Tables 10
Chapter 1 Introduction 11
1.1 Research background 11
1.2 Research aim and objectives 13
1.3 Contributions of this study 14
1.4 Framework of this study 14
Chapter 2 Literature Review 16
2.1 Introduction 16
2.2 Definition and explanation of core concepts 16
2.2.1 Price of gold 16
2.2.2 Price transmission mechanism 17
2.3 Stability analysis of the determinants of the price of gold 17
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