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论文作者:英语论文论文属性:本科毕业论文 Thesis登出时间:2014-11-08编辑:yangcheng点击率:14505
论文字数:5592论文编号:org201411051343396659语种:英语 English地区:英格兰价格:免费论文
关键词:Business StrategiesPandemics传染性疾病
摘要:本文是一篇分析流行病对全球商业策略的影响的留学生作业,迄今为止,业内还没有针对于由H1N1病毒或SARS(严重急性呼吸系统综合症)或其他超级病菌而引起的流感大流行现象的公开讨论。
Events causing significant global and societal turmoil can give rise to considerable secondary impacts. It is far from clear which of these, if any, would occur; but for resilience planning purposes it is worth considering them.
Below, the history and scope of two forms of Influenza Pandemic are given in detail.
2.1H1N1 (Swine Flu)
In April 2009, the influenza A (H1N1) virus appeared in Mexico, causing cases of pneumonia and 59 deaths in Mexico City alone. From there, the virus spread around the globe. Within two months, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak met the criteria of a level 6 pandemic. By August 2009, more than 1 million Americans contracted the H1N1 virus, more popularly known as the swine flu. In the same time period, 500 people in the United States had died from the illness.
Although initial concerns of an extremely high fatality rate have dropped, the expected resurgence of the H1N1 virus in fall 2009 poses a serious health threat to the United States — and to U.S. businesses. While the precise effect of a fall 2009 resurgence is unpredictable, the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) suggests a plausible scenario — not a prediction — that the epidemic could:
Produce infection o f 30% to 50% of the U.S. population this fall and winter, with symptoms in about 20% to 40% of the population (60 million to 120 million people). More than half would seek medical attention. However, the implication here is that not all cases would seek medical attention.
Lead to as many as 1.8 million U.S. hospital admissions during the epidemic, with up to 300,000 patients requiring care in intensive care units (ICU). These patients could occupy 50% to 100% of all ICU beds in affected regions at the peak of the epidemic, and could place enormous stress on ICU units, which normally operate close to capacity.
Cause between 30,000 and 90,000 deaths in the United States, concentrated among children and young adults. In contrast, the 30,000 to 40,000 annual deaths typically associated with seasonal flu in the United States occur mainly among people older than 65. As a result, H1N1 would lead to many more years of life lost.
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