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俄罗斯经济论文:金融危机对俄罗斯的影响及俄罗斯的应对措施 [2]

论文作者:英语论文论文属性:职称论文 Scholarship Papers登出时间:2012-04-06编辑:lena ding点击率:7298

论文字数:2125论文编号:org201204061031581949语种:英语 English地区:俄罗斯价格:免费论文

关键词:Russian economyeffect of the financial crisisjudgment of trendsmeasures

摘要:国际上相当多的看法认为,在这次金融危机中,俄罗斯经济所遭受的影响最为严重。目前,俄罗斯经济复苏的迹象开始显现,经济正在进入 缓慢恢复的过程中。但是人们更加关注的一个问题是,俄罗斯在这次金融危机中到底受到多大程度的影响?分析研究结果表明:俄罗斯经济受本次金融危机的影响,使其GDP大约萎缩8--lO个百分点。目前,尽管俄罗斯经济仍然在缓慢恢复,但是整体经济依然疲软。不过俄罗斯一旦度过这次危机,其经济仍将会保持经济稳定发展的势头。

ancial system, and with the deepening of the crisis, Russia's real economy had a significant effect, the crisis has infiltrated people's daily lives.

A. Inflation rate had an upward trend in
The outbreak of the financial crisis, Russia's inflation upward trend in Russia's inflation rate was 13.3% in 2008, 2007 Russia's inflation rate was 11.9%. Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, Russia's inflation rate is expected in 2009 will reach about 13%.
The reasons for the rise in inflation is a substantial increase in response to the financial crisis, the Government adopted the loose monetary and credit policies, and government budget spending. Because the federal extra-budgetary funds put into the growth rate much higher than the economic growth, will naturally result in inflationary pressures. In recent months the world food prices also contributed to rising prices in Russia.

 

B. The financial crisis has led to an increase in unemployment
The financial crisis has changed the status of the Russian labor market, labor market began to shift to the employer-led. First affected by the financial crisis banks and insurance companies and other financial sector layoffs began to appear, followed by some companies because of a shortage of funds and lack of order, also appears to cut production and lay off phenomenon. In 1000 a number of enterprises officially announced the layoffs in October 2008, a total of 4.6 million.
Russia's unemployment rate reached 5.3 percent in September 2008, an increase of 0.8% in August. The number of unemployed was 4.03 million, an increase of 3.3 million people compared with August. Increase in unemployment, more than the normal seasonal Volatility.

 

3. Decline in oil prices resulting in reduced export earnings
Russia is the share of oil producing and exporting countries, oil and energy products in more than half of exports. It can be said that the volatility of oil prices at any time affects the nerves of the Russian economy. According to the director of the Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of oil and gas Dmitriyevich Minkowski's estimates, at least $ 60 per barrel in order to maintain a balanced national budget. The single-barrel oil prices each fell $ 1, Russia's fiscal revenue has shrunk to $ 2,000,000,000. International oil prices over more than 140 U.S. dollars a barrel in July 2007 fell to $ 40 per barrel in the end of 2008. As oil prices continue to fall, resulting in the first nine months of 2008 Russian oil exports fell 5.6 percent, Russia's oil revenues naturally a corresponding reduction.

 

4. Economic growth rate began to decline
Russia's 2008 GDP growth of 6%, lower than expected 7.8%. Financial crisis has forced the Russian government to re-examine the economic forecast for 2009 to 2011, and November 8, 2008 Sao Paulo to attend the Group of Twenty finance ministers and central line for many years, Russian Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin told the media that by the global slowdown, Russia's economic growth rate in 2009 from the previous forecast of 5.5% to 3.5% GDP growth in the national budget in 2010 should not exceed 3%, and according to not long ago by Russia 2009 to 2011 budget, the 2010 GDP growth of 6.6%.
However, after only two months, Kudrin has presided over the opening ceremony of the Asian Financial Forum, claimed that economic growth in Russia in 2009 may be in the O ~ 2%. Vis论文英语论文网提供整理,提供论文代写英语论文代写代写论文代写英语论文代写留学生论文代写英文论文留学生论文代写相关核心关键词搜索。

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