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英国留学生论文:RMB汇率的历史和现况 [2]

论文作者:英语论文论文属性:硕士毕业论文 thesis登出时间:2014-07-31编辑:yangcheng点击率:15823

论文字数:7355论文编号:org201407301024555178语种:英语 English地区:中国价格:免费论文

关键词:RMB汇率人民币汇率金融体系保罗·克鲁格曼金融系统次贷危机

摘要:本文是一篇关于RMB汇率的留学生论文。在当代世界经济中,人民币汇率等一系列问题已经成为经济话题中非常敏感性的话题。目前国际经济金融形势不乐观的大背景下,在欧洲债务危机没有完全解除,欧洲经济的前景仍然扑朔迷离的情况下;同时美国次贷危机的发展引发对美国经济复苏的担忧继续存在的事实下,中国经济发展的方向也就变得更加的不确定性,其所面临的压力与挑战也备受关注。尽管著名的经济学家保罗·克鲁格曼在2011年的一篇论文中宣称欧洲债务危机之所以会发生是因为欧盟的整个政治,金融系统的不完全性所造成的,这种不完全性是当初欧盟成立时就存在的。

ajor rating agencies downgraded the European debt rating, this signal with the continued development of the situation will be more reflected.

 

Current condition of the RMB exchange rate on the one hand from the debt crisis in Europe and the United States, the dual effects of the subprime crisis; On the other hand from the domestic economic situation in China. Because of the European debt crisis occurred, to a certain extent, will make money to the European market. Because American investors in China's property market, bond market, invested a lot of money in the stock market, thus to some extent prompted hot money flow exists in China, and after the Chinese government adopted the policy of cooling, and the reality of the euro is just to make up for the vacancy. So in the short term, the European debt crisis will attract dollars into the European market, is actually a form of rescue, so the demand for dollars will increase, the demand for the yuan will be relatively narrow, revaluation would have narrowed. But in the long term, the trend of the yuan appreciation will not change. And even ifAmericadoes not requireChinaunilateral renminbi appreciation, the Chinese government in order to highlight the 'international currency' image, in the international financial market can form a world currency against the dollar, the euro. With the development of economic globalization and political pluralism, economic supremacy of the dollar will no doubt be weakened. But the outbreak of the crisis and seems to show a European problem can't sit in theUnited States. The so-called social phenomena, the world economy is a widespread contact, with the so-called 'domino effect' and the 'butterfly effect' can imagine Europe's economy could not affect the even China's economic operation situation in the United States. AndChina's domestic prices high, the real estate market and housing market are high and the bank credit scale will restrict the RMB exchange rate movements.

 

Therefore, the following paper I will from the two aspects of history and present situation to try points back some of the RMB exchange rate faces. And reviewing the history of the yuan's exchange rate I used the three periods, for the status quo, I from the debt crisis in Europe, the us subprime crisis,China's domestic economic situation these three aspects to consider respectively, in order to obtain the current situation of the RMB exchange rate speculation.

 

1. Reviewing the history of the yuan's exchange rate

 

Since the founding of newChina, in order to cooperate with political stability, the central government began to take measures in economy, to stabilize the economy of newChina. Due to the kuomintang civil war, Chiang kai-shek's rout, fled toTaiwan, before he went away with all the Chinese gold and silver, and the dollar. Therefore, Chiang kai-shek to mainland China a mess, and gold certificate before issuing fiat, Chiang kai-shek, and even the silver certificate, and in 1935, in countries such as the us and UK operations under the reform of 'legal tender', [3] c论文英语论文网提供整理,提供论文代写英语论文代写代写论文代写英语论文代写留学生论文代写英文论文留学生论文代写相关核心关键词搜索。

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