摘要:本文是一篇研究美国失业率的决定因素的留学生论文,失业率是最重要的宏观经济绩效的指标。失业率的出现是由于非竞争性工资差别造成的不正常的劳动力供应。从1945年至少到1968年的这段时期,欧洲主要的经济体的失业率比今天的标准低很多。
th rate and leading to a lower unemployment rate.
CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHOD
3.1 Data Analysis
3.1.1 Unemployment Rate
In this study, unemployment rate is the main study which was examine by using some explanatory variables. According to BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, (2009) those people who are with jobs can be considered as employed. On the other hand, a person will be classified as unemployed if they do not have a job, have actively looked for work in the prior 4 weeks, and are currently available for work. Dixon & Shepherd (2002) stated that the unemployment rate can be considered as one of the most important indicators of macroeconomic performance in a country.
The data of unemployment rate is obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) which if measured in percentage from those people who are 16 years old and above from year 1970 to 2007. The method which BLS used to calculate the unemployment rate in United States is:
X 100%
3.1.2 Real Gross Domestic Product
Real gross domestic product (Real GDP) in a country can be measured by the total output value of goods and services which produced from the domestic labor in the country in a given year, expressed in base-year prices. In this study, it is expected that there is a negative relationship between the Real GDP and unemployment rate in United States. The source of the United States Real GDP data is from the World Bank World Development Indicators and International Financial Statistics of the IMF. On the other hand, the data obtained was converted to a 2005 base year. The formula to calculate the data of United States Real GDP is as below:
3.1.3 Foreign Direct Investment
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is a kind of investment which is made to serve the business interest of the investor in a company which is in a different nation distinct from the investor’s country of origin. An example of FDI is a foreign company comes into a country to build or buy a factory and run a business there. Many economists believe that FDI is good for an economy, because it provides domestic job opportunities and increase domestic capital.
In this study, net inflows of foreign direct investment in the measurement of current US Dollar are used. A net inflow of foreign direct investment is the total amount or value of the investment flow into United States from foreign investors to operate their business in United States and negative relationship between foreign direct investment and unemployment rate is expected in United States.
3.1.4 Consumer Price Index
Consumer price index (CPI) is measured that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of consumer goods and services in a country, such as transportation, food, rental fees and utilities fees. CPI is one of the measurements of inflation rate.
According to Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the prices for the goods and services used to calculate the CPI are collected in 87 urban areas in United States from about 23,000 retail and services establishments. The CPI data used in this study included all consumer items in United States from year 1970 to 2007.
3.2 Research Framework
3.2.1 Unemployment rate and Real Gross Domestic Product
Based on the study, unemployment and real gross dome
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