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论文作者:英语论文论文属性:作业指导 assignment guidelines登出时间:2010-04-16编辑:lixiaona点击率:2898
论文字数:2341论文编号:org201004161104315103语种:英语 English地区:美国价格:免费论文
关键词:MethodsFinanceAssignmenGuidlines留学生作业
Research Methods for Finance
Introduction
In assignment one you were asked to use exploratory techniques described in class to investigate how the currency markets have performed over the first decade of this century. In this assignment you are required to use the knowledge gained本Assignment由代写Assignment网www.51lunwen.org提供 from the exploratory analysis to build both univariate and multivariate, causal models to forecast the future performance of exchange rates.
The task
Using daily data obtainable from DataStream you are required to investigate possible univariate and multivariate causal models that can be used for forecasting both the level and returns of the following exchange rates:
o Sterling – US Dollar
o Sterling - Euro
o Sterling - Chinese RMB
o Sterling – a currency of your choice.
You work should cover the following points:
o Preliminary univariate analysis;
o Preliminary multivariate analysis;
o Classical model diagnostics;
o Standard time-series diagnostics(Granger-Fisher).
o Discussion of the relative forecasting merits of the models.
o Possible further extensions.
Marking Criteria
The assignment will be marked using the following criteria:
o Theoretical soundness 50%;
o Critical Analysis of the results 30%;
o Presentation and correct referencing 10%;
o Innovation 10%.
Submission Date
The assignment must be submitted electronically by midnight on Friday 18/12/09 .A pdf version is preferred. All work will be submitted to the www.51lunwen.org turnitin plagiarism software and any work with a score of over 20%(excluding quotes and references) will be subject to the University plagiarism procedures.
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