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论文作者:留学生论文论文属性:调研报告 Research Proposal登出时间:2010-08-24编辑:vshellyn点击率:5213
论文字数:2200论文编号:org201008241327242824语种:英语 English地区:中国价格:$ 22
关键词:determinantshouse pricesUK
Analyze the determinants of house prices in the UK
RESEARCH PROPOSAL 范例摘要
Area and context of research:
The dissertation aims to find the determinants of house prices in the UK from 1980 to 2008. It also seeks the relationship between house prices and fundamental factors such as: real disposable income, interest rates, unemployment rates, and population, and to find out whether there was a price bubble in the housing market during that period. Understanding the determinants of house prices is very important as expenditure on new homes is a key component of consumption and aggregate demand and the house is the major asset for most households. Collapse in house markets may lead to economic crisis as has just happened in the USA. There are many previous studies which have tried to explain the relationship between house prices and fundamental factors in many countries such as: the USA, Central and Eastern Europe, Australia. They found that some fundamental factors have significant impact on house prices whilst some do not. Moreover, the sign and significance of the relationship would be different depending on country, method, economic circumstance and period of time. This dissertation tries to explore the factors that affect UK house prices, the significance and the sign of their relationship in the period 1980-2008.
Literature review:
Gert, B. and Mihaljek, D. (2007) Determinants of House Prices in Central and Eastern Europe. Comparative Economic Studies. vol. 49, iss. 3, pp 367-389
Abelson, P. et al (2005) Explaining house prices in Australia: 1970-2003. The Economic record. vol. 81, iss. special, pp.96-103
Jacobsen, D. and Naug, B. (2005) What drives house prices. Economic Bulletin. vol. 76, iss. 1, pp 29-42.
Grandner, T. and Gstach, D. (2006) Joint adjustment of house prices, stock prices and output towards short run equilibrium. Bulletin of Economic Research. vol. 58, Iss. 1; pp. 1-14
Wong, T. and Hui, C. and Seabrooke, W. (2003) The impact of interest rates upon housing prices: an empirical study of Hong Kong’s market. Property Management. vol. 21, iss. 2, pp 153-170
Levin, E. and Wright, R. (1997) The impact of speculation impact of speculation on house prices in the United Kingdome. Economic Modeling. vol. 14, iss. 4; pp. 567-585
Research question/hypothesis:
The main question of the dissertation is finding the determinants of house prices in the UK in the period 1980-2008.
The main question can be broken down into smaller questions such as:
- Whether the main fundamental factors such as real disposable income per capita, interest rates, unemployment rates, population, new build, average household size, real residual investment, age profile of population, growth in
mortgage credit, consumer expectation, housing stock, and housing policy have impacted on house prices.
-Finding the relationship and significance between house prices and each fundamental factor.
-What are the most fundamental factors influencing house prices?
-Whether expectation plays a role in determining house prices.
-Whether house prices in the UK in the period 1980-2008 were overvalued.
Method and data to be used: