G trade price system. For example, the United States imports LNG primarily for supplementary gas pipeline, the LNG CIF gas pipeline with the Henry Hub spot and futures prices linked to; European imports of LNG prices and fuel oil, coal, electric power and other index-linked; Asian imports LNG and Japan crude oil imports linked to the average CIF value.
During this period, the long-term contract prices are also rising. In the early 80s of last century, the United States imports natural gas prices have more than 5 U.S. dollars / million British Thermal Units, but in the subsequent three years down to three U.S. dollars / millions of British Thermal Units. At present, LNG prices have declined. The author believes that the current surge in the international LNG price, but by short-term surge in demand and speculation affect the consolidated results. The United States, India, China and European countries, such as large-scale new LNG receiving stations, resulting in tight supply of LNG stage. In the long run, the market mechanism will adjust the supply and demand to be balanced.
On the one hand, high gas prices will curb demand and promote alternative development, on the other hand, will stimulate the production of the field of investment and capacity expansion. LNG imports with other countries and regions, China's LNG project is still in its infancy, the development of LNG in China not only faces competition in the market in East Asia, Southeast Asia and South Asia are also facing new competition in the market, also faces the western North American market. Seller's market in the current circumstances, China purchased large quantities of LNG resources, is bound to bear higher costs.
2.3 Global supply and demand prediction
As a result of supply and demand and prices are constantly changing, the future trend of the international LNG market is difficult to make accurate judgments. However, the overall analysis, I believe that before 2010 the international market demand continues to raise, LNG resources tight, a seller's market will continue to maintain, for the procurement of our limited resources. Before 2010, only Australia, Qatar, Iran, Russia and other countries there are still a part of resources (total about 30 million tons, including the North West Shelf Australia Article 5 production lines, as well as Gorgon, Browse, Pluto, Pilbara, Sunrise projects; Qatar gas 3,4 line and on the 5 line; Iran Pars, NIOC and Persian items; Russian Sakhalin-2, etc.), and face competition from Japan, South Korea, India, China Taiwan, such as competition. Malaysia in 2008 the surplus production capacity of only 1.2 million tons / year, should not own an LNG project to meet the resource requirements.
Look from the supply cycle, with the international LNG market demand gradually increasingly brisk, LNG supply-side resources will continue to increase production capacity expansion and investment in new production lines. According to Cambridge Energy Research Association (CERA) analysis, in 2010, due to the potential increase in resources available for LNG is expected to supply and demand situation could ease the tension; LNG prices will show a downward trend. According to the Deodar Company predict that in 2015 the world's LNG capacity will be more than 450 million tons; while total demand less than 400 million tons.
2.4 Domestic LNG market analysis
According to the forecast 2000 to-2020 years, 20 years of China's gas demand will be signific
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