LNG’s role in China's energy structure adjustment [5]
论文作者:51lunwen论文属性:短文 essay登出时间:2009-05-18编辑:steelbeezxp点击率:13456
论文字数:2000论文编号:org200905182243502897语种:英语 English地区:中国价格:免费论文
关键词:structure adjustmentLNGLiquefied natural gasMarket AnalysisResources procurement
ant growth in demand in 2020 is 10 times in 2000. Among them, the "Eleventh Five-Year" period (2006-2010) of natural gas demand for the largest increase.
China's LNG price in the regions of the bearing capacity depends on the region's economic development, environmental conditions, as well as a variety of factors such as energy supply; the main growth will be concentrated in the Bohai Sea, Yangtze River Delta and the southeast coastal areas. The Zhujiang Delta area economy is developed, the natural gas market demand is exuberant, was mad that price bearing capacity is high. Chaozhou-Shantou area, Guangdong Province in 2005 amounted to LNG by 1. 70 Mt, natural alternative to LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) market prospect is broad. Shanghai, Zhejiang and other economically developed areas, planning the West has gas, East China Sea gas and LNG 3 month’s gas source, through the deployment of gas source, the region has a certain digestive capacity of the high prices of LNG. Shandong LNG project are city gas users and industrial users, with relatively high gas price affordability. The Tangshan LNG project covers Beijing, the Tangshan area, and user by civil, industry primarily, generates electricity accounts for 27% with the gas, in addition has the Shanxi Beijing gas to be possible to carry on with LNG mixes, and also has the relatively high gas price bearing capacity.
Imports of LNG and natural gas in the process, the upper reaches of LNG to China's oil resources to pay U.S. dollars, collected from the downstream users RMB, RMB exchange rate change will affect the downstream users of the gas price.
July 2005 the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism reform, the RMB against the U.S. dollar were to appreciate the trend. As a result of China's foreign trade surplus and foreign exchange reserves continued to increase, the future for a period of time facing the appreciation of the RMB will remain the main pressure. The reckoning indicated that the RMB revalues every time 5% (i.e. 0.4 Yuan/US dollar), stands LNG the gas price which to the gate approximately reduces 0.10 Yuan/cubic meter. Looking from this aspect, the RMB revaluation to our country LNG downstream user is advantageous (Zhang Qi, 2004).
Long-term contract prices for LNG stake. To one million British Thermal Units of LNG as an example, the price of 1 cents per worse, receiving station three million tons of 25-year contract nearly 40 million U.S. dollars less one; price of 0.1 U.S. dollars for each additional, we have to spend 400 million U.S. dollars; increased 0.5 U.S. dollars, it takes two billion U.S. dollars, or about 16 billion Yuan RMB. The author believes that despite the appreciation of the RMB relative benefit on imported LNG, but the procurement of LNG resources still need to conduct an objective estimate.
3. China LNG Development Strategy
LNG is entirely possible for China as a focus on the development of the industry to support and promote. China's energy demand grew fast, imports and exports balance of energy self-sufficiency rate of 94%, but by 2020 China's total energy demand will increase by 50 percent, so comprehensively promote energy conservation, improve energy efficiency is imperative. China's natural gas development strategy is: expanding natural gas exploration and development; optimize the energy structure, increase the proportion of natural gas demand; actively carry out natural gas resources and consuming countries of the international
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