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论文作者:www.51lunwen.org论文属性:硕士毕业论文 dissertation登出时间:2014-08-23编辑:felicia点击率:21705
论文字数:11434论文编号:org201408171129277011语种:英语 English地区:中国价格:免费论文
关键词:定性参数能源价格方案qualitative parametersenergy useenergy efficiency
摘要:本文是一篇美国留学论文范文指导。1973年石油价格上涨对能源利用和能源效率产生了重要影响,尽管大部分的影响是短暂的。在2003年到2004,有效石油价格翻了一番,在这段时间内,达到50美元/桶,最近它已经达到超过90美元/桶的价格水平。本文简要分析了石油价格的影响因素,对价格危机进行了简要的分析。
Suggesting a crisis that was mainly expressed on the basis of high energy pricing, the outcome of the previous questions concerned with the determination of energy price influential parameters may be illustrated. In fact, the impact of a more or less unanticipated event changed the correlation patterns between supply and demand and imposed the attachment of high tensions in the market balance, the latter entailing the high volatility of oil price and its potential outburst ever since (Regnier, 2007). The market structures, the dominance of OPEC and the political tension, all suggest aspects of the crisis illustrating the importance of considering qualitative parameters as well. As Godet well pointed out, one cannot neglect the wishes and decisions of major actors when configuring the future (e.g. OPEC members).
Similar to the 1973 oil crisis, the California energy crisis occurring some 27 years later also revealed the strength of key actors in completely changing what was meant to follow a past trend or ameliorate a past situation. The deregulation of the electricity market in California (during 1998) targeting to decrease the highest of retail prices among the States turned into a complete fiasco that abetted the manipulation of the market by the energy companies. The crisis main characteristics involved very high wholesale prices, interrupted service of customers (rolling blackouts), bankrupt utilities and huge state expenditures, while the crisis main causes were:
* The lack of new generating capacity inside California (California was heavily dependent on energy imports from nearby states (CEC, 2007a)).
* The coincidence of a dry year and natural gas spikes with other market oriented factors (California was largely based on hydro and natural gas for the consumers' electrification).
* The market structure allowing generators to manipulate wholesale prices in the power exchange market through escalating power plants' outages that caused market disorder (on the other hand there was a retail price cap that did not allow the investor owned utilities to pass the increasing cost of wholesale purchases to consumers).
* The delay and inability of the regulators to predict the crisis and respond to it (it was only after a certain time that a wholesale cap was set by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and an increase of retail prices was allowed to the investor owned utilities).
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