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论文作者:英语论文论文属性:作业 Assignment登出时间:2014-11-25编辑:Cinderella点击率:14621
论文字数:8310论文编号:org201411241440418927语种:英语 English地区:美国价格:免费论文
关键词:global warmingclimate change环境全球变暖
摘要:全球变暖是指在一段时间中陆地,海洋和大气因温室效应而造成的温度上升的气候变化现象。然而尽管地球在变暖是不争的事实,作者却认为这并不主要因为人类活动,还因为自然现象。本文是一篇由集结了各领域精英的团队对气候变化所作的深度分析报告。
Of course, Dr. Gray is not the only scientist who opposes “An Inconvenient Truth”. The CFP came out with an interesting statement concerning Bob Carter and his opinion: “Professor Bob Carter of the Marine Geophysical Laboratory at James Cook University, in Australia gives what, for many Canadians, is a surprising Assessment: ‘Gore's circumstantial arguments are so weak that they are pathetic. It is simply incredible that they, and his film, are commanding public attention.'” It seems, according to the scientists anyway, that Gore has deceived many people.
Another supported argument that invalidates the hypothesis that global warming is a human-made crisis involves the forecasting models used to quantify the drivers and effects of global warming. Scientists worldwide are questioning the assumptions necessary to project climate changes half a century or more in the future. An article written by a team of international scientists in BioScience, entitled “Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming,” focuses on the critical need to develop better forecasting methods to predict the effects of global warming. Matthew Sobel, a scientist and professor on this team stated, “The simultaneous widespread and justified alarm over global warming and changes in biodiversity has induced both outstanding scientific research and deplorable pseudoscientific work” (Sobel, 2007). Other scientists question the legitimacy of the models being used in today's research. Daniel Botkin, a proficient scientist, biologist, and ecologist, also attests that many global warming predictions are inaccurate due to their being based on old computer models that have not been updated (Botkin, 2007). Botkin states,
The climate modelers who developed the computer programs that are being used to forecast climate change used to readily admit that the models were crude and not very realistic, but were the best that could be done with available computers and programming methods. They said our options were to either believe those crude models or believe the opinions of experienced, data-focused scientists. Having done a great deal of computer modeling myself, I appreciated their acknowledgment of the limits of their methods. But I hear no such statements today. Oddly, the forecasts of computer models have become our new reality, while facts such as the few extinctions of the past 2.5 million years are pushed aside, as if they were not our reality. (Botkin, 2007)
There are many fallacies that are present in the contemporary media on global warming. Scare tactics, slippery slopes, exaggeration and appeals to sentimental emotions are all fallacies that can be easily identified in current publications on this issue. A current Newsweek article entitled “Global Warming Heats Up” stated the following, “Disasters have always been with us and surely always will be. But when they hit this hard and come this fast--when the emergency becomes commonplace--something has gone grievously wrong. That something is global warming!” (Kl本论文由英语论文网提供整理,提供论文代写,英语论文代写,代写论文,代写英语论文,代写留学生论文,代写英文论文,留学生论文代写相关核心关键词搜索。